{"id":1211,"date":"2013-03-05T15:00:00","date_gmt":"2013-03-05T15:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.sherin.com\/real-estate\/2013\/03\/05\/climate-change-and-rising-sea-levels-taking-a-local-look-at-a-global-problem\/"},"modified":"2023-11-08T18:34:48","modified_gmt":"2023-11-08T18:34:48","slug":"climate-change-and-rising-sea-levels-taking-a-local-look-at-a-global-problem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.sherin.com\/real-estate\/2013\/03\/05\/climate-change-and-rising-sea-levels-taking-a-local-look-at-a-global-problem\/","title":{"rendered":"Climate Change and Rising Sea Levels: Taking a Local Look at a Global Problem"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Boston Harbor Association recently released a sobering report entitled <a title=\" \u201cPreparing for the Rising Tide\u201d\" href=\"http:\/\/www.tbha.org\/preparing-rising-tide-report\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u201cPreparing for the Rising Tide\u201d<\/a> which assesses Boston\u2019s vulnerability to the coastal flooding we are likely to experience as a result of ongoing climate change.\u00a0 Some of the \u201cmatter of fact\u201d statements in the report are chilling to read:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Current climate change evidence indicates that sea levels may rise by up to 2\u2019 in Boston by 2050 and by up to 6\u2019 by 2100.<\/li>\n<li>\u201cIf Superstorm Sandy\u201d had hit Boston at high tide (as it did in New York City), rather than at low tide, up to 6% of Boston would have been flooded that day.<\/li>\n<li>What is now a \u201c100-year storm surge\u201d is likely, because of increased climate change and rising sea levels, to be merely a \u201c5-year storm surge\u201d by 2050, and may be a daily high tide occurrence by 2100.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>The report looks at the impact on the City of Boston of potential flooding at levels either 5\u2019 above current high tide or 7.5\u2019 above current high tide.\u00a0 Although the first of these scenarios would already occur during a \u201c100-year storm\u201d which hits Boston during high tide, this could become a daily high tide event by the year 2100.\u00a0 The second of these scenarios approximates the coastal storm surge which Boston would experience during a \u201c100-year storm\u201d which hits during high tide after sea levels have risen by approximately 2.5\u2019\u00a0 (as is projected to be the case around 2050). The report concludes:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>In broad terms, in the first of these scenarios (a flood level approx. 5\u2019 above current high tide):\n<ul>\n<li>Almost 7% of the land area of the city would be flooded, with industrial, commercial, and tax-exempt developed properties the hardest hit (in some cases with more than 10% of the total land use class in the city flooded), while residential uses would be least affected.\u00a0 This breakdown is not surprising given the current concentration of industrial and government-owned properties along the waterfront.<\/li>\n<li>All of the coastal neighborhoods and all of the harbor islands (totaling almost 83 million sf) would be flooded.<\/li>\n<li>Some of the more significant developed properties anticipated to be flooded under these conditions are the Charlestown Navy Yard, Bayside Expo Center, Gillette plant, South Bay shopping center, and Boston Fish Pier.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<li>Again in broad terms, in the second of these scenarios (a \u201c100 year storm\u201d hitting Boston during high tide after the sea level rises approx. 2.5\u2019 above today\u2019s level, causing a flood level approx. 7.5\u2019 above current high tide):\n<ul>\n<li>30% of the entire city would be flooded, with industrial (40%), commercial (40%), and tax-exempt (42%) developed properties the hardest hit, while residential properties would be least affected (&lt;7%).<\/li>\n<li>In this scenario, almost every neighborhood in the city (except Hyde Park, Jamaica Plain, Mattapan, Roslindale, and West Roxbury) would experience some flooding.\u00a0 Looking at some neighborhood figures, more than 90% of the South End, more than 80% of East Boston, Back Bay and the Fenway, almost 60% or more of South Boston, Chinatown, Charlestown, and the North End, and almost half of downtown Boston would be flooded.<\/li>\n<li>Some of the more significant developed properties anticipated to be flooded under these conditions (in addition to those listed above) are Logan Airport, the Boston Convention and Exhibition Center, Boston Marine Industrial Park, Harbor Point Apartments, and Harvard Stadium.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The report does not address the impact of such flooding on subsurface structures, such as subway tunnels and utility conduits \u2013 which have proven to be some of the most enduring problems left by Sandy in New York City.\u00a0 The report also notes that most storm drain outlets around the city are currently at or only slightly above current high tides, so that it will not take a major rise in sea level or storm surge to cause major backups in these drain lines into otherwise landlocked areas.<\/p>\n<p>Among the most interesting sections of the report are case studies of anticipated flooding and possible preventive measures to be taken with respect to Long and Central Wharves (Marriott Hotel, New England Aquarium, Aquarium MBTA station, Harbor Towers Garage), and UMass Boston.\u00a0 These make for fascinating, and ultimately slightly unsettling, reading.\u00a0 Most property owners in these areas are concerned about the effect of climate change on their holdings, but reading these portions of the report dramatically demonstrates the gulf between how conditions at these locations will change over time and the steps currently being taken to address these changes (largely property-specific flood-proofing with stand-by pumps and sandbags).\u00a0 Clearly, more systematic planning is required, and not just on a property-by-property basis.<\/p>\n<p>The report recounts initiatives undertaken by the City of Boston and the Commonwealth to identify, quantify, and try to address impacts of climate change and associated sea level rise, and contains a number of suggestions and recommendations for further action by both governmental and private parties.\u00a0 With information of the quality contained in this report now publicly available in a concise format, there is no longer any reason to delay taking these steps.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Boston Harbor Association recently released a sobering report entitled \u201cPreparing for the Rising Tide\u201d which assesses Boston\u2019s vulnerability to the coastal flooding we are likely to experience as a result of ongoing climate change.\u00a0 Some of the \u201cmatter of fact\u201d statements in the report are chilling to read: Current climate change evidence indicates that [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":9,"featured_media":5603,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":"","_links_to":"","_links_to_target":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[9],"class_list":["post-1211","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-general","tag-environmental"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Climate Change and Rising Sea Levels: Taking a Local Look at a Global Problem - Real Estate<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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